Showing posts with label Trendspotting and Future Thinking. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Trendspotting and Future Thinking. Show all posts

Thursday, 16 October 2008

Final Presentations!




Today was a last lecture of Trendspotting & Future Thinking. There were 15 presentations. It was so fantastic because every team had different theme and tool different approach.

What I felt were:
Only conclusion is better because everyone thought future; climate change, ecology, environment.
Of course, history, trend, logic are important.
Best presentation included everything.
We can not recognize without ppt because voices were weak.
Thinking future and creating new idea is difficult than I had expected because every team had not so new ideas.
The key area of study is: environment, economy, society.


Most interesting thing was difference of presentation. Some team took performance way, some took business presentation, some took movie…it was so interesting.

In FUTURE, I hope all ideas will come true!

Saturday, 11 October 2008

Human Logistics




Today I and two teammates had a meeting with Mr. Mark Smith, a professor of KTH and expert of sensor. He was so frank person and looked to care about me with easy English. This expert interview is an activity Trendspotting and Future Thinking class. We talked for two hours, and the topics expanded from “Human Logistics” and “Business Model” to “Information Society”.

“Human Logistics”:
It says that what is important in transportation is time and place, not how. In future, means of transportations will integrated into one, and users will have to pay attention only to arrival time and destination, not to how to transfer, which train or bus to take, how to pay money. To achieve this, navigation system is more important than technology or business model. In other words, transportation will become guide service not only moving vehicles.

“Business Model”
In planning business, there are two important questions to ask oneself: “Who is a customer?” and “What is a value of the customer?”. In our plan of train, for example, customers are travelers because train is used for international transportation. If so, what is traveler’s value? Obviously, time is not only need for travelers. Especially for travelers, navigation is important because they are probably stranger their destination and their cost to get information is quite high.

“Information Society”
This is not directly connected with train. Today, a lot of information about people is on Internet, and in near future, the information is used business. It can be happen your information is abuse and your privacy will invaded. You are known everything by everyone even if you did not tell anyone. If so, “trust” of firm will become important because people might not believe firms because of abuse their personal information.


Our talk was long, but so exciting and I forgot time passed. His talk was very informative and attractive. This is because he worked in both business community and academic community. I hope to work someday in company and research institute.

Tuesday, 7 October 2008

Globalization and Trend











Today’s guest was Sven Tollmien, who is head of DIGITAL TRENDUNIT. He works as a trendanalyst in information technology. His methods was standard; collecting advanced idea or technology from all over the world as micro-trend, and integrates them to make mega-trend. He showed us the micro-trends about mobile, cyber space, and brand marketing with many example of company. These were nice, and I felt these were already future. But most interesting for me was that the reason why he chosen these three areas or why new ideas rose in these areas.

The reason, I think, is globalization, especially about information technology and mega competition. World market is really integrating with internet. This means only leader can make money like google because information technology has a big scale merit. Therefore many company invest new technology more fashionable area. Moreover, some of the technologies made for trend are used by companies to win mega-competition in globalization.

By the way, he told us concept of “5th screen”, which means there were four generation of screen;
1st: cinema
2nd: TV
3rd: PC
4th: Mobile Phone
5th: Brain

Of course, 5th was his idea. It means in future, we will recognize information directly in brain with some connecters or chips. This is like a movie, but reasonable I think.

Last, we made some future ideas with group. Most funny idea was “people hacked by computer virus”. It said in future, human brain will become like a computer and also has a virus. That’s funny.

URL:http://www.v-t-t.de/index.php/Hauptseite

Thursday, 25 September 2008

“the creators class"?












Today’s class was an open course, there were many people in the class room because today’s guest was Piers Fawkes, just a Trendspotter itself! I did not him so much, but expectations of my friends and the number of audience coming class told me how he is famous.

He has been running PSFK, which provide ideas of future or trend on Internet; blogs. The important point is that he earns money through PSFK this is why PSFK has activities such as consulting and workshops. Anyway, it is extremely difficult to keep running “Web2.0” as a business, I think.

His speech was organized by two parts, the first one was methodology and the second one was his view gotten from the method. About method, he explained how he have made PFSK’s blogs;

1, scanning and digesting ( search the fact, collect information a lot)
2, scout network (find interesting people and share visions with blogs, sometimes interview directly)
3, trend report (make report of trends)
4, ideation (work together and make plan)

(main parts are 1 and 2, 3 and 4,are for business, I think)

In the second part, his vision of future, he stressed corporations of creators, companies, and communities. In the Web2.0 world and Globalization, both of which are hard to define, everyone can become creator and can create a trend. This is amplified by community, groups of people have same mind, parties of creators. However, activities of communities are hard to maintain because they can not make money for keeping themselves running. Companies helps them and transfer a trend to a business trend, social big trend, the future.



I think his ideas themselves are not so novel, but valuable as his saying. One thing I cared was he said “the creators class” ,in the last part. This means in future, a few established people make the trend, future, the world. Even in future, however advanced IT, social structure would not change, I was felt by the lecture.

Tuesday, 23 September 2008

"Cradle to Cradle"













Today's speaker was Christina Cheng and Magnus, of course guest was Christina. She is a business person who works mainly with food companies, and supports them to catch a trend. Thanks to her background lecture was rather practical than academic. She used many transparencies and told us some example of company.

“Cradle to Cradle”, I had never heard about that, was most interesting concept for me,












This is so nice! This is what I am considering because my major is agricultural economics! This city can self-produce sustainable food and energy.


Her Trendspotting steps is following:

1,Start on familiar ground
2,Make it their business
3,Go practice
4,Inspire to change
5,So what analysis

Wednesday, 17 September 2008

TRENDETHNOGRAPHY












Today's guest was Katarina Graffman, who was trendspotting trends with ethnography.

Her way of trendspotting was unique because it started observation of people such as life, culture, generation, and so on. This was so fresh for me, because my major was economics and it started some figure of people or economy. However, this diffrence was interesting that I'm now taking another course about international business strategy, and articles in the course writes about culture. Ultimately, economics is simillar to antipology, because both subject are human being, I believe.


Most shocking word for me was "digital native", a generation born after IT spreaded. By her speech, they do not talk friends and not get interested in school because they take some entertainmants for granted by internet. This is extreme example but partly true, I think.


I hope someday study anthropology.

Tuesday, 16 September 2008

Who makes VISON?













(This is a kind of future class!)




Today's class was taken in KTH, the big university about engineering. Today's guest was a company, the foresight group, professional of consulting or management of firm. Therefore, they used their skills in lecture. Though lecture was interesting, organizing of lecture was more meaningful for me.


The lecture title was "Making Change", and lecture was organized in three parts, chgange of individual, change of organization, and change of (social) system. I thought this was beautiful.

Moreover, they used methods of "Positive Change". I have known that by some books, but this was first time to practice. "Positive Change" is the skill of motivate people with their positive experience. This was nice, but if it were in Japanese I would be boring.

Most inpressive word was "Vision is made by you". I had thought "vision" was made by top such as CEO, GM, President. But he said "you". This means everyone in organization can make or have the vision, and can change environment even if he or she is not exective. Following, his point of change;

・vision "driving force", the tool to make someone join changing process.
・action/doing
・self-selected extremely important to give self confidence


And follwing is picture of last person's ppt. It is big dream, but I think in the same way.
















Thursday, 11 September 2008

Probably true future












Today's class was also guest lecture.
The guest was Henrik Blomgren,International Economics and Management Head of Department Royal Institute of Technoligy.

His air was intellectural and I felt he was established, actually he was.

His view of future has three points, those are;

・Welfare & Health
・Globalization
・ICT & Biotechnology

This is probably true, but I felt something regrettable because even I can tell those, realistic but not so dreamy, so I wanted to hear what I had not had imagined before.

And, I felt he tried hard to finish his presentation, not to discuss or arrenge student's opinion.


I guess business man, who works long time, can not say funny thing because in business, it is important to tell future just few years later.

Tuesday, 9 September 2008

The role of Economics for future.














Economics narrows possibilities.



Today's lecture was guest lecture.
Guest, so young businessman, told us history of technological change.
They are following;

①mechanization
②steam-engine
③enginialing
④mass-production
⑤information technology

Moreover he added ⑥minitualization, that meas everything is thought or created in atmic level. This view is very interesting because if we handle everything in atomic level, we can create everything with control material itself.

In the minitualization, "BANG" is keyword. This means followings;

B…Bits
A…Atoms
N…Neurous
G…Genes


Most important thing I got from lecture, the role of economics.
By his presentation, I felt I was so narrow-minded and my idea looked more easy to realize than his view for future. However, I thought that my mind was typical of students studying economics because today, there are a lot of plan or idea that can come true technically, but they are not realized economical reason.


I think Technology expand possibilities and make dreams, but economics narrows them.
However, I believe economics has ability to realize the idea in the last part of some plan.



(This is interesting because this was witten in 1862)


Saturday, 6 September 2008

Post a plant !












This is my tenement's post in the morning.
What have happened?
Have a seed in someone's letter grown for one night?



(Following is just a memo of last course, not involved with the picture)



What is "future thinking"
…making a story

What is "trendspotting";
the art of telling persuasive stories about present and future.

Why


How?

We think about
・technology
・economics
・emotion
・sociaty

And it should contain
・coherent
・conclusions(some provocative)
・convince us, use hard evidence
・make us laugh !

Trendspotter is who
…make people change

And we have to
…be an opportunistic collector, gethering many things, be DJ of idea.

and usually we have to
・provoke myself at least once a week
・attach new sources
・do new things
・new places
・play games
…live one week without media
…spend one week without saying

Moreover,we should

・look back at least as far as we are trying to
・not be afraid of uncomfortable idea
・accept contradiction
・Trust your instinctics. but do'nt flow
・dare to change your mind
・challenge everything!

Thursday, 4 September 2008

How to trendspot












Today's title is "Theory".


Before lecture, we made some groups. So I got in group 5 and group project theam is "Future of Train"!

What will be going on us...?



The lecture was well organized because it contained cleary "Why", "What",and "how". Moreover, this was done so interactively.


Most important thing in project is make "laugh"!!!

So, we have to make funny train. From now on, I have to study laugh more...

Tuesday, 2 September 2008

First lecture













Today is first class of "Trendspotting and Future Thinking".

I worried about registration because I have another class in SSE just before this class. But, course director has accepted me!

My aim for this course is to get future-view about role of agriculture and influence of ecology to business.


Next class is about "Theory". How we can think future? What is important for creativity?

I'm very looking forward about that.